CAR 3.0 o43.5
TB -3.0 u43.5
SEA -1.5 o47.5
SF 1.5 u47.5
GB 7.5 o36.0
MIN -7.5 u36.0
TEN 13.0 o48.0
JAC -13.0 u48.0
IND 10.5 o39.0
HOU -10.5 u39.0
DAL -3.5 o51.0
NYG 3.5 u51.0
CLE 7.5 o45.0
CIN -7.5 u45.0
NO 3.5 o44.0
ATL -3.5 u44.0
MIA 10.5 o45.5
NE -10.5 u45.5
ARI 7.5 o46.5
LA -7.5 u46.5
DET 3.0 o50.5
CHI -3.0 u50.5
WAS 4.5 o38.5
PHI -4.5 u38.5
NYJ 6.5 o37.5
BUF -6.5 u37.5
KC -5.5 o36.5
LV 5.5 u36.5
LAC 13.0 o38.0
DEN -13.0 u38.0
BAL -3.5 o41.0
PIT 3.5 u41.0
Seahawks 1st NFC West13-3
Panthers 1st NFC South8-8

Seahawks @ Panthers Picks & Props

SEA vs CAR Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Seattle Seahawks logo SEA -7.5 (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Carolina Panthers are getting healthier and while the Seattle Seahawks played last Thursday night, giving the Seahawks a few extra days to heal up as well, both teams should be at relatively full strength considering it’s a late-season matchup. Seattle should be able to keep the train rolling against a team that has had a successful season thanks in large part to luck, clutch play and mirrors.

 

Score a Touchdown
Tetairoa McMillan logo Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown (Yes: +195)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Seattle’s defense looked very beatable in Week 16, and if Carolina is forced into a pass-heavy script, the ball is going to Tetairoa McMillan at a massive rate. He’s seen roughly every third target when the Panthers drop back, yet this is the longest his touchdown price has been in four games despite scoring in four of his last five. There’s really only one reliable option to back in the Panthers’ passing game, and it’s McMillan. Given his role, usage, and consistency in the red zone, he’s a player I’m comfortable backing weekly at +170 or better.

Passing Completions
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o18.5 Passing Completions (-111)
Projection 20.48 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.. With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o190.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 203.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+116)
Projection 0.48 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see only 126.8 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. The Seattle Seahawks have intercepted 0.93 throws per game this year, ranking as the 6th-best defense in the league by this standard.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
AJ Barner logo
AJ Barner o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 41.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 8.86 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 20.22 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.. This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 62.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker III logo
Kenneth Walker III o11.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 13.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.. With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.. Kenneth Walker III's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material growth in his receiving skills over last season's 6.1 mark.
Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 57.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. In this week's game, Rico Dowdle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 78th percentile among RBs with 14.3 carries.. Out of all running backs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 55.2% of the workload in his offense's run game.. With an impressive record of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle places among the best pure rushers in the league this year.
Rushing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o3.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 6.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This year, the imposing Carolina Panthers run defense has given up a mere 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. The Panthers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o15.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 20.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. Bryce Young's ground effectiveness (6.37 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (79th percentile among QBs).
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SEA vs CAR Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

61% picking Carolina

39%
61%

Total Picks SEA 492, CAR 776

Total

62% picking Seattle vs Carolina to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksSEA 499, CAR 309

SEA vs CAR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja'Tavion Sanders Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Ja'Tavion Sanders logo

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.17
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.17

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

AJ Barner Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

AJ Barner
A. Barner
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).

AJ Barner logo

AJ Barner

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.36
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.36

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
J. Smith-Njigba
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (33.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.1% in games he has played). After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 110.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 87.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.59
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.59

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (33.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.1% in games he has played). After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 110.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 87.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Kenneth Walker III
K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Kenneth Walker III logo

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.45
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.45

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Rico Dowdle Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Rico Dowdle's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for RBs. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Rico Dowdle logo

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.34
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.34

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Rico Dowdle's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for RBs. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Tetairoa McMillan logo

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Bryce Young is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 1.8% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year, putting him in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Bryce Young logo

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Bryce Young is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 1.8% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year, putting him in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Sam Darnold Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Sam Darnold
S. Darnold
quarterback QB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.02
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.02
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. Sam Darnold is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among QBs. With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL. With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

Sam Darnold logo

Sam Darnold

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.02
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.02

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. Sam Darnold is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among QBs. With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL. With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SEA vs CAR Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 bradleybrick 7-3-0 +6800
2 Wahoo8 7-3-0 +6500
3 faustobaez 7-3-0 +6250
4 LMS387 8-2-0 +6200
5 StanMarsh 9-1-0 +6100
6 Haroldjr33 4-6-0 +6100
7 jessestars 6-4-0 +6050
8 faustobone 7-3-0 +6050
9 ashotofjack 5-5-0 +5700
10 MillerBets54 6-4-0 +5650
All Seahawks Money Leaders

Carolina Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 sherriffics 7-3-0 +6650
2 PlusOdds 9-1-0 +6350
3 FBI007 9-1-0 +5850
4 DeaconBlues2525 8-2-0 +5600
5 sake 7-3-0 +5500
6 APPLEST 7-3-0 +5250
7 bigdogman 7-3-0 +5100
8 teslaxyz 7-3-0 +5000
9 gobillsfan 7-3-0 +5000
10 samua 6-4-0 +5000
All Panthers Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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