CAR 3.0 o43.5
TB -3.0 u43.5
SEA -1.5 o47.5
SF 1.5 u47.5
GB 7.5 o36.0
MIN -7.5 u36.0
TEN 13.0 o48.0
JAC -13.0 u48.0
IND 10.5 o39.0
HOU -10.5 u39.0
DAL -3.5 o51.0
NYG 3.5 u51.0
CLE 7.5 o45.0
CIN -7.5 u45.0
NO 3.5 o44.0
ATL -3.5 u44.0
MIA 10.5 o45.5
NE -10.5 u45.5
ARI 7.5 o46.5
LA -7.5 u46.5
DET 3.0 o50.5
CHI -3.0 u50.5
WAS 4.5 o38.5
PHI -4.5 u38.5
NYJ 6.5 o37.5
BUF -6.5 u37.5
KC -5.5 o36.5
LV 5.5 u36.5
LAC 13.0 o38.0
DEN -13.0 u38.0
BAL -3.5 o41.0
PIT 3.5 u41.0
Saints 4th NFC South6-10
Titans 4th AFC South3-13

Saints @ Titans Picks & Props

NO vs TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough o220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Expect an Offensive Rookie of the Year push from Saints QB Tyler Shough. Shough didn't start until Week 8 but has come on strong down the stretch. He's thrown for more than 235 yards in five of his previous six game and is coming off a career-high 308-yard performance. He has a great matchup on Sunday against Tennessee who ranks 27th in defensive pass DVOA. The Titans benefitted from facing a third-string QB last week but had surrendered 275.4 passing yards per game in their previous seven contests.

Spread
New Orleans Saints logo NO -2.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Every single victory in the Saints' three-game unbeaten run has been by at least three points, which means the Saints have covered in each contest. Their last road game was in Tampa, where they walked away with a 24-20 win. This is obviously a small spread, and if New Orleans is going to win like I expect them to, it will be by a minimum of a field goal.

Score a Touchdown
Chris Olave logo Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Tyler Shough and the Saints’ offense are leaning heavily on the passing game. New Orleans dropped back 56 times last week, and the unit is starting to play with confidence. Chris Olave was at the center of it all, seeing 16 targets and turning them into 10 catches, 140-plus yards, and two touchdowns. Any clear WR1 facing Tennessee should be priced closer to +140 to score, so seeing Olave available nearer to +200 feels like a number that won’t last. Even at +150, there’s still value. The Saints simply can’t run the ball right now, which keeps the offense flowing through the air and makes Olave the focal point again this week.

Receptions Made
Audric Estime logo
Audric Estime u2.5 Receptions Made (-135)
Projection 1.67 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Passing Completions
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u20.5 Passing Completions (+108)
Projection 17.89 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Passing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u32.5 Passing Attempts (-118)
Projection 29.69 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u223.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Projection 186.78 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson u46.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 37.52 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.. Juwan Johnson's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 mark last year.. The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 47.0) to tight ends this year.. The Titans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.
Receiving Yards
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo o24.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 32.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.1 targets.. With an elite 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
Receiving Yards
Chimere Dike logo
Chimere Dike o31.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 37.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o5.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Projection 8.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Tony Pollard's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 74.4% mark.. Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 5.32 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 4.25 mark last year.. This year, the weak Saints pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
Receiving Yards
Audric Estime logo
Audric Estime u14.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 12.71 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Rushing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward o6.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 15.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 41.9% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-focused team in the league has been the Titans.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
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NO vs TEN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

NO vs TEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chimere Dike Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Chimere Dike
C. Dike
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Chimere Dike logo

Chimere Dike

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.32
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.32

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Tyler Shough Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Tyler Shough
T. Shough
quarterback QB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans cornerbacks project as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Tyler Shough logo

Tyler Shough

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.19
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.19

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans cornerbacks project as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Chris Olave Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Chris Olave
C. Olave
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts. After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has gotten better this year, currently pacing 119.0 per game. Chris Olave's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.

Chris Olave logo

Chris Olave

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.48
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.48

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts. After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has gotten better this year, currently pacing 119.0 per game. Chris Olave's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.

Cam Ward Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Cam Ward
C. Ward
quarterback QB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Cam Ward logo

Cam Ward

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.1

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Audric Estime Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Audric Estime
A. Estime
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Audric Estime logo

Audric Estime

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.2

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Chig Okonkwo Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Chig Okonkwo
C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated. Chig Okonkwo has been in the 78th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 27.9 figure this year. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Chig Okonkwo logo

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.19
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.19

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated. Chig Okonkwo has been in the 78th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 27.9 figure this year. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Juwan Johnson Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Juwan Johnson
J. Johnson
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). With an impressive 16.7% Red Zone Target Share (83rd percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson rates among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Juwan Johnson has notched far more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game). Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.

Juwan Johnson logo

Juwan Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.25
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.25

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). With an impressive 16.7% Red Zone Target Share (83rd percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson rates among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Juwan Johnson has notched far more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game). Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.

Tony Pollard Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Tony Pollard
T. Pollard
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Tony Pollard's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 74.4% mark. This year, the weak Saints pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

Tony Pollard logo

Tony Pollard

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.26
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.26

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Tony Pollard's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 74.4% mark. This year, the weak Saints pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

Alvin Kamara Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Alvin Kamara
A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Best Odds

Zaire Mitchell-Paden Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Zaire Mitchell-Paden
Z. Mitchell-Paden
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

NO vs TEN Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

New Orleans Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 rquiroz 8-2-0 +7250
2 dirtyharry57 9-1-0 +6650
3 Krayziemac 8-2-0 +6300
4 TwoDrunk2Bunt 6-4-0 +6100
5 FLgoon 10-0-0 +5900
6 Demerson 7-2-1 +5750
7 jerrygora 6-4-0 +5650
8 starpano 5-5-0 +5550
9 Sabster611 5-5-0 +5500
10 womper 8-2-0 +5350
All Saints Money Leaders

Tennessee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 griz55 7-3-0 +7600
2 cashbb1030 7-3-0 +7600
3 interfly 8-2-0 +7150
4 LaQuora28 7-3-0 +6550
5 gargoyle127 7-3-0 +6200
6 VenezUtah 6-4-0 +6100
7 Sam47 7-3-0 +6100
8 jaydidy919625 10-0-0 +6000
9 jazzyblue 9-1-0 +5800
10 Jhusagic 7-3-0 +5650
All Titans Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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