Colts @ Jaguars Picks & Props

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The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. The model projects Alec Pierce to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).. After totaling 96.0 air yards per game last season, Alec Pierce has made big progress this season, currently boasting 115.0 per game.. Alec Pierce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 43.8.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.. The Jaguars defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.58 per game this year.. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.58 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. Jonathan Taylor's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 81st percentile for RBs.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.. Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.7% to 87.8%.. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.15 per game.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. Jakobi Meyers has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.. Jakobi Meyers's 73.7% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 68.4% mark.. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Brenton Strange to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).. Brenton Strange has notched quite a few more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).. Brenton Strange's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.58 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 11.5% Red Zone Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne has been among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Travis Etienne grades out in the 87th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.15 per game.. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 128.1 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Jakobi Meyers's 51.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 61.2.. Jakobi Meyers's pass-catching performance declined this year, notching just 4.2 adjusted catches compared to 5.7 last year.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. Alec Pierce comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a measly 54.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among WRs. This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a measly 59.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best rate in football.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (61.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. In this contest, Brenton Strange is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.6 targets.. With a remarkable 3.5 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Brenton Strange ranks among the best pass-catching tight ends in football.

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (52.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.. Trevor Lawrence checks in as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.. This year, the strong Colts defense has surrendered a measly 1.33 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 10th-best rate in football.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 51.2% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 128.1 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Trevor Lawrence checks in as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (61.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. In throwing a colossal 31.0 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top QBs in the NFL (76th percentile) in this respect.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.. The Jaguars pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.94 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 128.1 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Trevor Lawrence checks in as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 128.1 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Indianapolis's defense grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year when it comes to generating interceptions, accumulating 1.01 per game.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Alec Pierce to notch 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. After totaling 96.0 air yards per game last season, Alec Pierce has made big progress this season, currently boasting 115.0 per game.. Alec Pierce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 43.8.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.. This year, the anemic Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been gouged for a massive 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 5th-most in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (61.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. In this contest, Brenton Strange is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.6 targets.. Brenton Strange has notched quite a few more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (61.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.. Our trusted projections expect Jakobi Meyers to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jakobi Meyers's 73.7% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 68.4% mark.

The Colts have been the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.. Jonathan Taylor's 72.9% Route Participation Rate this year marks an impressive improvement in his pass game workload over last year's 61.8% mark.. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 3.4 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

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The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to garner 4.3 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. After taking on 10.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Trevor Lawrence has been called on more in the run game this season, now comprising 15.5%.. Trevor Lawrence has rushed for many more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).. The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles project as the 6th-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

This week, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the projections to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 22.6 rush attempts.. Out of all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 100th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 82.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. Jonathan Taylor has averaged 103.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (100th percentile).. Jonathan Taylor's 6.0 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a meaningful growth in his running prowess over last season's 4.6 rate.. Jonathan Taylor has been more successful in grinding out extra rushing yardage this year, accumulating 4.08 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.68 mark last year.

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The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 10th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 38.1% run rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 128.1 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Colts have been the 8th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.