Broncos @ Commanders Picks & Props

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 52.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 38.2. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 63.6% to 79.9%.

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a massive 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the league. The Washington Commanders defense has been torched for the 5th-most TDs through the air in the league to running backs: 0.27 per game this year.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the porous Commanders pass defense has surrendered a staggering 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-largest rate in the league. This year, the poor Washington Commanders defense has conceded a colossal 1.18 receiving TDs per game to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a massive 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the league. This year, the deficient Commanders defense has surrendered a massive 2.00 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the highest rate in football.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Zach Ertz has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 21.9% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs. Zach Ertz has put up a whopping 46.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board. The Commanders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.9%) vs. TEs this year (80.9%). The Commanders defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.55 per game this year.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This year, the weak Broncos defense has allowed a massive 0.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in football.