49ers @ Browns Picks & Props

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL. Jerry Jeudy has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.6% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs. Jerry Jeudy's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the league: 84th percentile for wideouts.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL. Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.67 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a staggering 21.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among RBs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey's 43.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 33.9. Christian McCaffrey's 84.4% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.8% mark. With a stellar ratio of 0.38 per game through the air (99th percentile), Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among RBs this year.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Brock Purdy's 69.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy gain in his throwing precision over last season's 66.2% mark. With a terrific ratio of 1.60 per game (88th percentile), Brock Purdy places as one of the best touchdown passers in football this year. Brock Purdy has not rushed for any TDs this year. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.45 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Jauan Jennings has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.2% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wideouts. Jauan Jennings grades out in the 79th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.36 per game. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.45 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year. The Cleveland Browns defensive ends rank as the best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. With a stellar 87.7% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to TEs. George Kittle grades out in the 96th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.62 per game. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.45 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year. The Cleveland Browns defensive ends rank as the best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.8%) versus running backs this year (86.8%). Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.67 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL. The 49ers defense has surrendered the 4th-most passing touchdowns in football: 1.83 per game this year. Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.67 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.