Cardinals @ Buccaneers Picks & Props

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This year, the weak Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in football. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.30 seconds per play.

The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.30 seconds per play.

The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.30 seconds per play.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.30 seconds per play.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the end zone in this game (13.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played). This year, the feeble Arizona Cardinals defense has given up a colossal 0.45 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Baker Mayfield is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a mere 0.0% of his offense's run game usage in the red zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.