Rams @ Panthers Picks & Props

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (59.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. The Rams defense has given up the 8th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 0.45 per game this year. This year, the daunting Rams run defense has given up a measly 0.36 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. With an extraordinary 12.7% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 8.0 per game. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (59.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The predictive model expects Bryce Young to throw 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. This year, the daunting Rams run defense has given up a measly 0.36 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. While Puka Nacua has earned 14.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 23.3%. Puka Nacua has posted far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game). Puka Nacua's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 76.1% to 84.8%. Puka Nacua ranks in the 79th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.36 per game.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. Colby Parkinson has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which places him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs. Colby Parkinson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.2% to 91.9%. Colby Parkinson grades out in the 84th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game. The Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.5%) to TEs this year (80.5%).

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (59.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. This year, the daunting Rams run defense has given up a measly 0.36 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (59.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. While Rico Dowdle has garnered 6.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Carolina's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 12.1%. Rico Dowdle's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 80.0% to 83.7%.