He’s scored four TDs on the season with three of those coming the past two weeks. McBride entered Week 9 as the most targeted tight end in the NFL (66) despite a bye in Week 8. With Brisset under center, the standout TE has seen 11 and 13 balls his way. Inside the red zone, McBride has caught nine of 13 passes, four striking for six points. The Dallas secondary is running thin at safety as are the linebacker corps – two positions that would be assigned to covering tight ends. In fact, the Cowboys active LBs rate among the worst at coverage, according to PFF. Tight ends have had their way with Dallas in 2025. The Cowboys have allowed the 11th most receptions and the 12th most receiving yards to the position, along with two TE touchdowns. McBride’s player projections have him listed as the one of the tight ends most likely to find payfirt in Week 9, with models ranging from 0.5 to 0.6 TDs on Monday night.
Brissett is once more under center for the Cardinals with QB1 Kyler Murray unable to go with a foot injury in Week 9. The veteran backup has played well in relief, passing for just short of 600 total yards, four touchdowns and only one interception in the past two games. However, this zone-heavy defense from Dallas could be Brissett’s kryptonite. While he rates Top 10 in many metrics against man-to-man, he’s 30th in completion rate vs. zone (64.4%), 16th in passer rating vs. zone (93.0), and 21st in catchable ball rate (75.6%) against zone schemes. With Arizona pegged as a road underdog and the total among the highest on the board, Brissett could be forced to pass more and make tough throws to keep the chains moving. Dallas hasn’t been as dangerous in terms of takeaways as year’s past, but it does have four INTs on the season.
With a game total north of 50 and Knight’s rushing line set at 57.5 yards, I’m all in on him this week. I’ve already grabbed his anytime touchdown at +145 and I’m adding his rushing overs. Whether it’s Kyler Murray or Jacoby Brissett under center, I’m comfortable—Brissett actually ran the offense more efficiently in Weeks 6 and 7. In Arizona’s last game, Knight handled 64% of the running back opportunities, even with Carter getting seven carries for just 11 yards. Over his two starts, he’s faced tough run units (Packers, Colts) but still logged 25 carries for 91 yards and a score. With that kind of volume against this soft Dallas defense, 15 carries for 60 yards would only require 4.0 yards per carry—a modest ask versus a defense allowing 4.9 per rush on the season. The matchup is perfect and the opportunities could be more than expected.
There could easily be 60 points in this game, and I’m getting a starting running back at +145? I’d play Knight down to even money, especially with Michael Carter only on the practice squad. The Cardinals are coming off a bye with just Knight and Emari Demercado on the roster, and Demercado is still dealing with an ankle issue. The Cowboys might have the worst defense in football right now, making this a great price on a back who’s found the end zone in two of his last three games.
Pickens may be QB2 on the depth chart but he's more of a WR1-A. He had another strong effort in the loss to Denver, putting up seven catches on nine targets for 78 yards against one of the best secondaries in the league. Arizona isn't that. The Cardinals are allowing 235 yards through the air per game and hit the road to take on a pass-happy Cowboys attack. Dak Prescott sees his stats spike at home and Pickens has loved playing indoors, with his career splits seeing a rise inside. Player projections range from 67 to 83 yards receiving from Pickens and with this total among the tallest on the board in Week 9, we could be in for a shootout on Monday night.
The Cowboys have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.12 per game through the air (81st percentile), Javonte Williams rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among RBs this year.. This year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered a colossal 0.29 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the worst rate in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett.. The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 65.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Cardinals.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
The Cowboys have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. Dak Prescott's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.0% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Arizona's safety corps has been awful this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
The Cowboys have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. With an excellent record of 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Dak Prescott stands among the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year.. Dak Prescott's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.0% figure.
The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett.. The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 65.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Cardinals.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett.. The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 65.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Cardinals.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Cowboys have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. In this contest, Jake Ferguson is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.1 targets.. After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has posted big gains this year, currently sitting at 34.0 per game.
The Cowboys have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. Javonte Williams's 58.3% Route% this season indicates a meaningful boost in his passing game workload over last season's 44.1% mark.. The projections expect Javonte Williams to accrue 3.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett.. The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 65.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Cardinals.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett.. The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 65.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Cardinals.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. Bam Knight comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a remarkable 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 86th percentile.
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