Seattle @ Washington Picks & Props

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Deebo Samuel Sr. has accrued significantly more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game). Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 55.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 38.2.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 6.3%. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the league against the Washington Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%). The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (31.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled far more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 93.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Seattle's collection of DEs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Seattle's collection of DEs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. This year, the weak Washington Commanders pass defense has been torched for a staggering 82.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football. This year, the weak Commanders defense has given up a monstrous 0.62 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league. The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Zach Ertz has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Zach Ertz has notched a staggering 36.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Totaling zero red zone carries this year, Sam Darnold's lack of mobility marks him as a no threat as a ball-carrier near the end zone. Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with an outstanding 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Sam Darnold's stats page this year.