Broncos @ Texans Picks & Props

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At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Courtland Sutton to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (22.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.0% in games he has played).. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (60.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. Nico Collins has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Nico Collins rates in the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 59.9 figure this year.

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (60.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. This year, the porous Denver Broncos defense has yielded a massive 0.38 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.. The Denver Broncos defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (60.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. Dalton Schultz has compiled a massive 36.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Schultz's 35.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in football: 87th percentile for tight ends.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (60.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.. C.J. Stroud's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.0% to 66.5%.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Evan Engram to earn 6.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Nico Collins's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.5 figure.. Nico Collins's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 67.1% to 56.7%.. The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.2%) to wideouts this year (61.2%).. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has given up a feeble 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is projected by the projections to find himself in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in football vs. the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the formidable Broncos defense has allowed a measly 1.00 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Houston Texans defense this year (64.9% Adjusted Completion%).. The Texans defense has allowed the fewest passing TDs in football: 0.86 per game this year.. The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in football vs. the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.. C.J. Stroud's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.0% to 66.5%.

As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Evan Engram to earn 6.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect Dalton Schultz to earn 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.. With a top-tier 17.4% Target% (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is projected by the projections to find himself in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. This year, the deficient Broncos defense has allowed a colossal 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 8th-most in the NFL.. This year, the deficient Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a monstrous 9.76 yards.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.5% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The model projects Nico Collins to total 9.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.. Nico Collins has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. C.J. Stroud's 21.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a significant progression in his running skills over last year's 14.0 figure.. C.J. Stroud's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, averaging 6.95 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.89 figure last year.

At the present time, the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The Denver Broncos defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's safety corps has been great this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The model projects J.K. Dobbins to earn 15.5 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Out of all RBs, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 59.3% of the workload in his offense's running game.. J.K. Dobbins has grinded out 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (95th percentile).. With an impressive total of 5.28 adjusted yards per carry (87th percentile), J.K. Dobbins rates among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.