Washington @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (64.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average). In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in football this year. Isiah Pacheco grades out in the 83rd percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.14 per game.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has given up a massive 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has given up a massive 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (64.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average). Rashee Rice has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 40.0% this year, which places him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Rashee Rice slots into the 87th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a massive 53.3 figure since the start of last season.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Zach Ertz has put up a colossal 38.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends. Zach Ertz's 37.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for tight ends.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has given up a massive 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (64.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average). With an elite 14.3% Red Zone Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce stands as one of the TEs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in football this year.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (64.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average). While Patrick Mahomes has accounted for 11.8% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's ground game near the end zone in this week's game at 4.0%. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in football this year.