Taylor ran for 102 yards and three touchdowns in the Week 3 matchup in Nashville, in which the Colts won 41-20. I expect a very similar game here, in which Taylor and the Colts can dominate by lighting up the scoreboard, mainly through the ground game.
Interim head coach Mike McCoy said this week the offense plans to “emphasize what it does best,” especially with rookie QB Cam Ward. McCoy added, “If Cam likes it, it’s going to work more often than not. The most important thing is to let the QB play fast.” That sounds like a good spot to back the Titans’ passing game, which looked much improved last week despite the result. Tennessee also posted a higher pass rate over expected in McCoy’s first game. Gunner Helm was the only tight end to see targets last week, even though Chig Okonkwo ran more routes. This could be the week the rookie earns a larger snap share. With Calvin Ridley missing last week and opening this week as a DNP due to a hamstring issue, Helm should see more opportunities — especially indoors and likely playing from behind.
With Calvin Ridley banged up and Tyler Lockett recently requesting his release, the Titans’ caliber on offense is paper-thin. This will give veteran running back Tony Pollard opportunities both as a rusher and a receiving back, after he finished with six carries and six receptions in last week’s blowout loss to New England. A similar fate awaits them against the 6-1 Colts, making Pollard a sneaky value option for a multi-score outing in garbage time.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. While Jonathan Taylor has received 3.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Indianapolis's pass game near the end zone this week at 10.2%.. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.7% to 92.0%.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Daniel Jones rates as one of the top QBs in the league this year, averaging an excellent 211.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.. Daniel Jones's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.2%.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -15-point underdog this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.. This year, the weak Colts defense has surrendered a colossal 282.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 2nd-most in football.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -15-point underdog this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.. This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for a massive 180.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst in the league.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -15-point underdog this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.. This week, Chig Okonkwo is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 5.8 targets.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Tennessee's LB corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Jonathan Taylor has run more routes this year (77.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.8%).. In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Colts are a massive 15-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Colts to run on 46.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. While Daniel Jones has been responsible for 13.3% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Indianapolis's running game this week at 18.7%.. This year, the porous Titans run defense has allowed a colossal 151.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-most in football.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.1 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
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