Tennessee @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Daniel Jones's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.2%. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -14.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. While Jonathan Taylor has received 3.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Indianapolis's pass game near the end zone this week at 10.1%. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.7% to 92.0%.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -14.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -14.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Titans being an enormous -14.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the league.