DAL -3.5 o50.0
LV 3.5 u50.0
Final Nov 13
NYJ 14
NE 27
Final 4OT Nov 16
WAS 13
MIA 16
Final Nov 16
LAC 6
JAC 35
Final Nov 16
TB 32
BUF 44
Final Nov 16
CHI 19
MIN 17
Final Nov 16
GB 27
NYG 20
Final Nov 16
HOU 16
TEN 13
Final 4OT Nov 16
CAR 30
ATL 27
Final Nov 16
CIN 12
PIT 34
Final Nov 16
SF 41 -3.5 o48.5
ARI 22 3.5 u48.5
Final Nov 16
SEA 19
LA 21
Final Nov 16
KC 19 -4.5 o45.0
DEN 22 4.5 u45.0
Final Nov 16
BAL 23
CLE 16
Final Nov 16
DET 9 2.5 o46.5
PHI 16 -2.5 u46.5
Dallas 2nd NFC East3-5
Denver 1st AFC West9-2
CBS

Dallas @ Denver Picks & Props

DAL vs DEN Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo Dak Prescott o251.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Nobody has slowed down Prescott yet, and with his full arsenal of receivers now healthy, I expect the Cowboys quarterback to hit his props with regularity moving forward.

Receptions Made
George Pickens logo George Pickens o3.5 Receptions Made (-158)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Pickens showed up big while CeeDee Lamb was out of the lineup, and continues to get plenty of targets now that the Cowboys passing game is back to full strength. Dak Prescott will have to move the ball around against Denver, and that should mean several catches for Pickens.

Sacks
Nik Bonitto logo Nik Bonitto o0.5 Sacks (+106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Nobody hounds opposing quarterbacks like the Denver Broncos, and Bonitto is the best bet to get to Dak Prescott during this game.

Receiving Yards
Marvin Mims Jr. logo Marvin Mims Jr. o27.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Marvin Mims gets his shot at this terrible Cowboys pass defense that could be missing three starters on Sunday. Mims caught six of seven balls his way for 85 yards vs. New York, including a 31-yard reception. He sits T-15th for yards after the catch among all WRs and the Cowboys are a terrible tackling team and give up the fourth most YAC on the season. Mims is also a home run threat, rating out as the Broncos’ best deep target (20+ yards). Dallas has allowed 24 passes of 20 or more yards and a league-worst eight for 20-plus yards. Projections sit as high as 40 yards on Sunday.

Receiving Yards
George Pickens logo George Pickens o56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Broncos are very good at eliminating their foes’ top target, owning the fourth best defensive DVOA versus WR1 at FTN. However, there is a letdown against WR2s and as far as second options go, Pickens could be the best WR2 in the league right now. The Broncos run man-to-man coverage almost exclusively and Pickens enters Week 8 as Dallas’ best WR versus man and 14th overall among all receivers in one-on-one coverage at PFF. Week 8 player projections respect the Broncos’ secondary but don’t deny Pickens his, ranging from 57.6 yards to a ceiling closer to 70 yards. The majority of those models come in at 64 yards or higher, sitting Over this current receiving total of 56.5 O/U.

Score a Touchdown
Jake Ferguson logo Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I expected this number to open much shorter. Jake Ferguson has scored in four straight games, caught seven passes with CeeDee Lamb back in the lineup last week, and ranks second in the league in red-zone targets. The Dallas offense is humming, and Denver’s defense isn’t as strong as the market suggests. Ferguson closed at +160 last week and found the end zone twice. He also scored in Week 6 at +160 and had two more touchdowns in Week 5 at +145. Getting +230 here feels generous — I’d play it down to +170. Theo Johnson just went for 66 yards and a touchdown against the Broncos last week, and that was in a game where his team controlled the pace throughout.

Total
Dallas Cowboys logo Denver Broncos logo u49.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This Broncos defense got a wake-up call against New York and despite allowing 32 points, this stop unit remains a Top 10 group in most advanced measurements. Denver is by far the best defense Dallas has faced in a while. The Broncos pass rush poses the biggest threat to this Cowboys attack. Dallas has relied on deeper strikes to keep the chains moving, but Denver tops the NFL in pressure rate and sacks. That pass rush won’t give Dak Prescott the time needed for home run plays to develop. We’ll see Dallas lean more on the ground game and short-hitting throws to alleviate that pressure. This Denver secondary is among the best in the land, limiting foes to just 17 passing plays of 20-plus yards and lowest success rate per dropback in the NFL. The Broncos offense isn’t the most explosive attack. Bo Nix boasts the seventh fewest intended air yards per attempt and the Broncos sit in the bottom third in terms of yards per play.

Score a Touchdown
George Pickens logo
George Pickens Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Projection 0.52 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.. George Pickens has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.4% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Score a Touchdown
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -115)
Projection 0.77 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.. Javonte Williams's 82.6% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.
Score a Touchdown
J.K. Dobbins logo
J.K. Dobbins Score a Touchdown (Yes: -120)
Projection 0.74 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year.. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o239.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 257.85 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year.. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (78.3% Adjusted Completion%).
Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o252.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 263.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The projections expect Dak Prescott to attempt 38.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.. With a fantastic tally of 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Dak Prescott places among the top QBs in the league this year.
Receiving Yards
J.K. Dobbins logo
J.K. Dobbins o2.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 9.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year.. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.. This year, the weak Cowboys defense has surrendered a monstrous 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the most in the league.
Receiving Yards
George Pickens logo
George Pickens o59.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 78.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's contest, George Pickens is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.4 targets.. In regards to air yards, George Pickens ranks in the towering 94th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a remarkable 104.0 per game.
Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb logo
CeeDee Lamb u76.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 69.34 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
CeeDee Lamb's 52.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 61.8.. The Cowboys offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.. CeeDee Lamb's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates an impressive drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.7% mark.. The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 113.0) versus wide receivers this year.. The Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.45 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o40.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 43.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to garner 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.. Jake Ferguson has been much more involved in his team's air attack this season (23.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (16.6%).
Rushing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o22.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 28.44 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Broncos being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game.. This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys run defense has given up a monstrous 144.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-most in the league.. The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the worst group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
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DAL vs DEN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Dallas vs Denver to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksDAL 731, DEN 471

Total
Over
Under

DAL vs DEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Pickens Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

George Pickens
G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. George Pickens has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.4% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

George Pickens

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.52
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.52

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. George Pickens has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.4% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Javonte Williams
J. Williams
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. Javonte Williams's 82.6% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.

Javonte Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.77

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. Javonte Williams's 82.6% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.

J.K. Dobbins Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

J.K. Dobbins
J. Dobbins
running back RB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.74
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.74
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.74

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Courtland Sutton
C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. While Courtland Sutton has accounted for 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Denver's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 22.6%.

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.49
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.49

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. While Courtland Sutton has accounted for 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Denver's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 22.6%.

Dak Prescott Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Dak Prescott
D. Prescott
quarterback QB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The projections expect Dak Prescott to attempt 38.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

Dak Prescott

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.09
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.09

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The projections expect Dak Prescott to attempt 38.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

Bo Nix Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Bo Nix
B. Nix
quarterback QB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Bo Nix

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.27
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.27

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jake Ferguson
J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 35.0 per game.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.36
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.36

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Cowboys rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 35.0 per game.

Evan Engram Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Evan Engram
E. Engram
tight end TE • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Evan Engram

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.24
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.24

The model projects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 134.2 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Dallas Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 JayAcosta20 10-0-0 +5900
2 ckope1 9-1-0 +5850
3 midway1942 8-2-0 +5400
4 jsmith0398 7-3-0 +4850
5 FAMCOLLECTOR 7-3-0 +4800
6 DKSTACKER 8-2-0 +4800
7 london79 8-2-0 +4400
8 qlh 9-1-0 +4300
9 ChOmP 8-2-0 +3900
10 LuckyGuy 7-3-0 +3850
All Cowboys Money Leaders

Denver Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Dalmeetz48 8-2-0 +6800
2 lsbellmom 9-1-0 +6800
3 manomanomano551 8-2-0 +6300
4 SteveA2009 10-0-0 +5800
5 pittsburghphil 7-3-0 +5750
6 Bazooks813973 8-2-0 +5300
7 alfimar10045 8-2-0 +4800
8 T-MAC4ALL 9-1-0 +4800
9 SNID 7-3-0 +4800
10 liveactiondockery 8-2-0 +4800
All Broncos Money Leaders
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