Chicago @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. With an extraordinary 25.0% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Mark Andrews slots into the 87th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 36.8 figure this year. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league. The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. The Ravens defense has given up the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.33 per game this year.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. While Lamar Jackson has received 28.6% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Baltimore's run game near the goal line in this game at 21.7%. Lamar Jackson's 70.9% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable gain in his throwing accuracy over last season's 67.6% rate. With a remarkable ratio of 2.00 per game (94th percentile), Lamar Jackson places among the leading touchdown throwers in football this year. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. While Zay Flowers has received 16.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Baltimore's pass game near the goal line this week at 21.8%. Zay Flowers slots into the 94th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 67.1 figure this year. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.7% to 75.5%. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. This year, the deficient Ravens defense has allowed a colossal 1.67 receiving TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. While D'Andre Swift has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Chicago's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 6.5%. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. While Derrick Henry has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 5.1%. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 77th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). This year, the poor Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded a whopping 96.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL. The Bears defense has conceded the 2nd-most TDs through the air in football to RBs: 0.50 per game this year.

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. The Ravens pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (94.8%) to TEs this year (94.8%).