Chicago @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The Ravens may pass less in this game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Tyler Huntley. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down. With an extraordinary 25.0% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Mark Andrews slots into the 87th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 36.8 figure this year. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

The Ravens may pass less in this game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Tyler Huntley. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league. This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has been torched for a massive 2.50 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL. The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Ravens may pass less in this game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Tyler Huntley. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down. While Zay Flowers has received 16.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Baltimore's pass game near the goal line this week at 21.9%. Zay Flowers slots into the 94th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 67.1 figure this year. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.7% to 75.5%.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. While Lamar Jackson has received 28.6% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Baltimore's run game near the goal line in this game at 21.7%. Lamar Jackson's 70.9% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable gain in his throwing accuracy over last season's 67.6% rate. With a remarkable ratio of 2.00 per game (94th percentile), Lamar Jackson places among the leading touchdown throwers in football this year. This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. This year, the deficient Ravens defense has allowed a colossal 1.67 receiving TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. The Ravens defense has given up the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.33 per game this year.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. The Ravens pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (94.8%) to TEs this year (94.8%).

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football. While D'Andre Swift has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Chicago's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 6.3%. The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board. With a stellar ratio of 0.14 per game through the air (83rd percentile), D'Andre Swift places as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.

The Ravens may pass less in this game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Tyler Huntley. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down. While Derrick Henry has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 5.2%. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 77th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). This year, the poor Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded a whopping 96.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL.