New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. Our trusted projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone in this game (27.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played). After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last year, Wan'Dale Robinson has posted big gains this year, now averaging 71.0 per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide. The Giants defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year. With an extraordinary 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage near the end zone in football. DeVonta Smith has accrued significantly more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game). DeVonta Smith's 62.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 90th percentile for wideouts.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide. The Giants defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year. Saquon Barkley has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.0% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. Saquon Barkley has notched a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Saquon Barkley has been in the 88th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 19.4 figure this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide. The Giants defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year. Jalen Hurts ranks as one of the best precision passers in football this year with a fantastic 69.4% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 88th percentile. Jalen Hurts has been one of the leading touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 1.57 per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

The Giants defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year. A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts. With an exceptional rate of 0.43 per game through the air (87th percentile), A.J. Brown ranks among the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide. The Giants defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year. With an impressive 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Dallas Goedert has posted significantly more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game). Dallas Goedert rates in the 97th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 44.8 mark this year.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.