Buffalo @ Carolina Picks & Props

The Panthers are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average). The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Khalil Shakir has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.2% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs. The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. Khalil Shakir comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an exceptional 78.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile among WRs. With a remarkable ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (75th percentile), Khalil Shakir places among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs this year. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Panthers are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average). With an extraordinary 10.0% Red Zone Target Rate (80th percentile) this year, Chuba Hubbard has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL. The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

With an extraordinary 16.7% Red Zone Target Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid places among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Dalton Kincaid has put up a colossal 47.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among TEs. Dalton Kincaid's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for tight ends. The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. Dalton Kincaid's 83.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 62.0% mark.

The Panthers are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average). The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board. The Bills pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.5%) versus WRs this year (68.5%).

The Panthers are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average). Andy Dalton has not tried to run the ball himself in the red zone at all this year. The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. Josh Allen's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 68.5%. Josh Allen has been one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.57 per game while checking in at the 78th percentile. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.