Jets @ Bengals Picks & Props

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The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 67.6 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects Josh Reynolds to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (21.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).. Josh Reynolds has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (57.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).. Josh Reynolds's 42.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 21.9.

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The model projects Chase Brown to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's game (68.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (80.0% in games he has played).

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. While Ja'Marr Chase has been responsible for 25.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Cincinnati's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 33.0%.

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. This year, the anemic Bengals defense has conceded a whopping 1.29 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in the NFL.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Breece Hall has notched a massive 10.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Breece Hall's 86.1% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.6% mark.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The leading projections forecast Noah Fant to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (13.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. The Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 2.43 per game this year.

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 67.6 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.. The Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 2.43 per game this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's game, Noah Fant is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among TEs with 5.6 targets.. Noah Fant is positioned as one of the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 52.6 per game on average).. Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.6 per game) this year.. The Bengals O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to accumulate 4.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With an extraordinary 12.0% Target Share (86th percentile) this year, Chase Brown rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects Breece Hall to garner 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.. Breece Hall's 86.1% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.6% mark.. This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a massive 89.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. The Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 2.43 per game this year.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0. . The New York Jets linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (264.0 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.. This year, the shaky Bengals defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 8.39 yards.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0. . The Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, allowing 8.12 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. In this week's game, Justin Fields is anticipated by the model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.9. . The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Cincinnati's defense profiles as the 4th-best in football this year as it relates to inducing interceptions, accumulating 1.30 per game.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0. . Joe Flacco has racked up 0.80 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's game, Noah Fant is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among TEs with 5.6 targets.. Noah Fant's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 76.7% to 91.6%.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to accumulate 4.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With an extraordinary 12.0% Target Share (86th percentile) this year, Chase Brown rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.1 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile among WRs with 12.4 targets.. Ja'Marr Chase's 33.9% Target Share this season represents a remarkable growth in his passing offense utilization over last season's 27.9% rate.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 73.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the most in the league.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects Breece Hall to garner 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.. Breece Hall has notched a massive 10.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a massive 89.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (132 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The projections expect Chase Brown to garner 14.7 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown grades out in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 69.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (132 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to run on 45.9% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. In this game, Breece Hall is projected by the projection model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.9 rush attempts.. Among all RBs, Breece Hall grades out in the 86th percentile for carries this year, taking on 55.7% of the workload in his team's running game.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.