Houston @ Seattle Picks & Props

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this game. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 128.6 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned 16.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 29.6%. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this year (118.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 89.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 57.6.

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this game. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this game. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this game. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 128.6 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Houston's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 128.6 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker III to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone in this game (7.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Houston's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 128.6 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. Comprising just 0.0% of his team's red zone rushing play calls this year (3rd percentile among QBs), Sam Darnold's one-dimensionality makes him no threat in Seattle's rushing attack near the goal line. Sam Darnold's 70.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a meaningful progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 66.2% mark. Sam Darnold has been one of the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 1.57 per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.