Atlanta @ San Francisco Picks & Props

The San Francisco 49ers may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.2 plays per game. In this week's game, Mac Jones is predicted by the predictive model to average the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.7. Mac Jones has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among QBs (2nd percentile).

The San Francisco 49ers may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.2 plays per game. Christian McCaffrey has compiled a monstrous 27.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey's 45.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 33.9.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average). While Drake London has been responsible for 27.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Atlanta's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 34.1%. Drake London's 76.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wide receivers. The Falcons O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average). Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends. Kyle Pitts's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for tight ends. The Falcons O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The San Francisco 49ers may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.2 plays per game. George Kittle has notched a colossal 54.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to TEs. George Kittle places in the 96th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 46.6 figure since the start of last season.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average). After accruing -1.0 air yards per game last year, Bijan Robinson has been rising this year, currently sitting at 11.0 per game. Bijan Robinson's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 21.9. The Falcons O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The San Francisco 49ers may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run 66.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.2 plays per game. The model projects Kendrick Bourne to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this contest (17.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.5% in games he has played). After totaling 29.0 air yards per game last year, Kendrick Bourne has been rising this year, now boasting 64.0 per game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average). The Falcons O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has conceded a feeble 0.67 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, San Francisco's unit has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in football.