Philadelphia @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a sizeable 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Dallas Goedert has put up far more air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game). Dallas Goedert's 49.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 99th percentile for TEs.

The Vikings may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Carson Wentz. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (64.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off. The predictive model expects Justin Jefferson to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the goal line in this week's game (29.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.8% in games he has played).

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (91st percentile) this year, A.J. Brown stands among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.

The Vikings may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Carson Wentz. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (64.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off. While Jordan Mason has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 7.5%.

The Vikings may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Carson Wentz. Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (64.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off. T.J. Hockenson has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Saquon Barkley has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.0% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile among RBs. When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a remarkable 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). Saquon Barkley's 21.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 91st percentile for RBs.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.