Miami @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 64.7 per game on average). This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 64.7 per game on average). This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Jaylen Waddle has accrued significantly more air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game). Jaylen Waddle's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 43.8. Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 69.6% to 74.5%. With a terrific ratio of 0.43 per game through the air (87th percentile), Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among wideouts this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. De'Von Achane has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.8% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among running backs. De'Von Achane has notched a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage). De'Von Achane's 33.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 22.4. De'Von Achane grades out in the 99th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.43 per game.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 64.7 per game on average). The model projects Jerry Jeudy to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line in this week's game (22.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.2% in games he has played). Jerry Jeudy has put up a colossal 98.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among wide receivers. Jerry Jeudy's 56.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in football: 84th percentile for WRs. This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Darren Waller has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among TEs. Darren Waller ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a whopping 25.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated. Darren Waller rates as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, completing an impressive 85.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 86th percentile. The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.67 per game this year.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 64.7 per game on average). This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL. This year, the weak Dolphins defense has given up a staggering 1.83 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in football.