New Orleans @ Chicago Picks & Props

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 140.1 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game. Chris Olave has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 29.2% this year, which puts him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Chris Olave has notched many more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 140.1 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game. Juwan Johnson has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% this year, which ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends. After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has posted big gains this season, currently pacing 44.0 per game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 140.1 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year. This year, the weak New Orleans Saints defense has allowed a staggering 2.33 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL. This year, the tough New Orleans Saints run defense has surrendered a meager 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in football.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 140.1 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game. The projections expect Alvin Kamara to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone in this contest (39.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.0% in games he has played). Alvin Kamara has totaled a staggering 6.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 140.1 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. While D'Andre Swift has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Chicago's passing attack near the end zone this week at 6.9%. D'Andre Swift rates in the 83rd percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 18.0 mark this year. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year. D'Andre Swift grades out in the 87th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.17 per game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 140.1 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year. The Saints defense has allowed the 5th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.33 per game this year. This year, the tough New Orleans Saints run defense has surrendered a meager 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in football.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 140.1 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The New Orleans Saints have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in football versus the Bears defense this year (77.6% Adjusted Completion%). The Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the most TDs through the air in the league: 2.60 per game this year.