Cincinnati @ Green Bay Picks & Props

The Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -14-point disadvantage, the Bengals are giant underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (42.0 per game) this year.

The Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -14-point disadvantage, the Bengals are giant underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (42.0 per game) this year.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. Tucker Kraft has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.7% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs. When it comes to air yards, Tucker Kraft grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a whopping 24.0 per game. Tucker Kraft's 33.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 27.6. Tucker Kraft's 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a material growth in his receiving talent over last season's 78.5% mark.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. When it comes to air yards, Romeo Doubs grades out in the towering 77th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging an astounding 68.0 per game. Romeo Doubs ranks in the 97th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.80 per game. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (8.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). This year, the anemic Bengals defense has been torched for a whopping 0.80 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the biggest rate in football. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. Jordan Love's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 71.3%. With a terrific rate of 1.60 per game (93rd percentile), Jordan Love places as one of the best touchdown passers in the league this year. The running TD field reads "0" on Jordan Love's stats page this year. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-most passing TDs in the league: 2.40 per game this year.

The Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -14-point disadvantage, the Bengals are giant underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (42.0 per game) this year.