Tennessee @ Las Vegas Picks & Props

The Raiders rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.8% red zone pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 9th-best in football this year. The rushing touchdown field reads "0" on Geno Smith's player page this year. This year, the shaky Titans defense has allowed a massive 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-largest rate in football.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's contest (11.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). Chig Okonkwo's 29.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for TEs.

The Raiders rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.8% red zone pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 9th-best in football this year. This year, the shaky Titans defense has allowed a massive 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-largest rate in football.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The Raiders pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.3%) versus wideouts this year (73.3%). As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

The Raiders rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.8% red zone pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an impressive 22.7% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers stands among the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Jakobi Meyers's 56.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for wideouts. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

The Raiders rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.8% red zone pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. While Michael Mayer has been responsible for 9.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 17.3%. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 9th-best in football this year. Michael Mayer's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.1% to 100.0%.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Tony Pollard's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 74.3% to 80.7%. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the league.