San Francisco @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The 49ers will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the projections to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The 49ers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The predictive model expects Rachaad White to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's game (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played). Rachaad White's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 94.0% to 100.0%.

The 49ers will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the projections to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The 49ers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.

The 49ers will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the projections to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The 49ers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.

The 49ers will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the projections to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The 49ers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game. Opposing squads have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in the league (0.40 per game) versus the 49ers defense this year. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The predictive model expects Cade Otton to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (16.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played). The 49ers defense has given up the 6th-most TDs through the air in football to TEs: 0.60 per game this year.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game. With an exceptional ratio of 1.43 per game (80th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the best TD passers in the league this year. The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on Baker Mayfield's player page this year.