Cincinnati @ Denver Picks & Props

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.70 per game since the start of last season.

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a massive 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the worst rate in football.

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning. The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.8% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning. The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.8% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning. The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.8% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning. The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.8% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL. With a top-tier 30.4% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton stands among the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the league. Courtland Sutton has posted a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wideouts.

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL. The projections expect J.K. Dobbins to be much less involved in his team's run game near the end zone this week (49.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.7% in games he has played). Our trusted projections expect J.K. Dobbins to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (7.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a massive 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the worst rate in football.