Indianapolis @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board. Daniel Jones's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.4% to 69.2%.

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board. The opposing side have run for the 6th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.70 per game) against the Rams defense since the start of last season.

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. With a remarkable 11.8% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. Tyler Higbee's 81.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a meaningful gain in his receiving skills over last year's 74.6% figure.

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect Puka Nacua to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the end zone in this game (26.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played). Puka Nacua has totaled a staggering 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among WRs.

The predictive model expects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 11.8% this year, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile among RBs. Kyren Williams grades out in the 96th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.25 per game.

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board. Jonathan Taylor's 88.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 56.7% figure.