Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog this week. At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.2 per game on average). The Tampa Bay offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. Baker Mayfield has been among the top TD passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 1.50 per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog this week. At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.2 per game on average). The Tampa Bay offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.60 per game) vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to tilt 2.8% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles since the start of last season (a colossal 59.4 per game on average). The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season. With a high 20.5% Red Zone Target Share (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. When it comes to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the towering 90th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 37.0 per game.

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog this week. At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.2 per game on average). The Tampa Bay offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to tilt 2.8% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles since the start of last season (a colossal 59.4 per game on average). The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season. With an elite 18.6% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley rates among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 5.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to tilt 2.8% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles since the start of last season (a colossal 59.4 per game on average). The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season. Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 68.3% to 74.0%. Since the start of last season, the deficient Buccaneers defense has been torched for a whopping 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to tilt 2.8% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles since the start of last season (a colossal 59.4 per game on average). The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season. When it comes to air yards, A.J. Brown ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a massive 88.0 per game. A.J. Brown slots into the 100th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 87.0 mark since the start of last season.

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog this week. At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.2 per game on average). While Cade Otton has earned 7.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's offense near the end zone this week at 14.7%. As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the towering 86th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a colossal 31.0 per game.