SF 8.5 o44.0
LA -8.5 u44.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o47.5
NYJ 2.5 u47.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o48.5
BUF -8.0 u48.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
Los Angeles 3rd NFC West3-1
Philadelphia 1st NFC East4-0
FOX

Los Angeles @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

LA vs PHI Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Blake Corum logo Blake Corum o15.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Kyren Williams had 17 runs last week, and 11 of those went for no more than three yards. As such, Blake Corum began getting touches in the second quarter. And while five carries doesn’t seem like a lot, he produced positive results on nearly all of them. Corum ended up with 44 yards on five carries, and I expect he will see more touches against the Eagles. His 18 snaps against the Titans matched his career high, and the lack of production by Williams should see that trend continue. Matthew Stafford needs the run game to be productive if the Rams are going to win this game. Failing to establish the run will allow the Philadelphia pass rush to tee off on him. Based on early returns, Corum may offer the best opportunity for Los Angeles to pick up chunks on the ground. A 16-yard game shouldn’t be that difficult for him to achieve. 

 

Rushing Yards
Saquon Barkley logo Saquon Barkley o92.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Saquon Barkley torched the Rams in both meetings last year, posting his best two rushing totals of the entire season with 255 yards in the regular season and 205 yards in the playoff game. And it wasn’t just a steady dose of tough runs. Barkley was putting on a show, with touchdown runs of 62 yards and 78 yards in the NFC Divisional Round game. That was after 70-yard and 72-yard touchdowns in the regular season contest. Barkley rushed for just 60 yards against the Cowboys and 88 yards against the Chiefs, but the Rams allowed 92 yards on 20 carries to Tony Pollard last week. And they allowed Nick Chubb to pick up 60 yards on 13 carries behind that horrible Houston offensive line. Barkley is far better than either of those backs, and playing behind an elite line. I’ll happily take him to hit the century mark again, and will probably ladder him up to 150 yards. 

 

Receptions Made
Dallas Goedert logo Dallas Goedert o3.5 Receptions Made (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Rams have struggled this season against receiving tight ends. Houston tight ends Dalton Schultz and Cade Stover combined for seven catches and 50 yards on nine targets, while Tennessee got four catches for 35 yards from Chig Okonkwo last week. Dallas Goedert has been cleared to play on Sunday. He is in a contract year, and he badly wants to stay in Philadelphia. He’s motivated to produce, and Hurts often looks to him in key situations. This is a situation where he could be limited in his yardage, but four catches is a floor he should easily clear. After all, he faced the Rams twice last season. He caught four of five targets for 19 yards in the regular-season meeting, and all four targets for 56 yards in the playoffs when the teams got together. He’ll get another four here. 

 

Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo Saquon Barkley o16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Barkley caught all four passes his way for 27 yards in the NFC Divisional Round. So far in 2025, he’s seen his share of routes, especially in the win over Dallas in Week 1. Philadelphia couldn’t get Barkley going in that opener (just 3.3 ypc), so it found other ways to put the ball in his hands. He was targeted five times for four receptions and 24 yards. Before the playoff matchups with Los Angeles in January, these foes clashed in Week 12. The Eagles jumped on Barkley’s back, with the RB rumbling for 255 yards but adding 47 receiving yards on 4-for-4 receiving. Projections for Barkley this Sunday range from 17 to 22.4 receiving yards versus the Rams.

Total
Los Angeles Rams logo Philadelphia Eagles logo u44.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rams rank second in EPA allowed, with an emphasis on the passing defense. That success stems from the pass rush, which is getting excellent pressure with just the front four. Being able to collapse the pocket with just four pass rushers allows L.A.’s LBs to spy QB Jalen Hurts as well as clog up the passing lanes and sniff out shorter throws. And that’s when Hurts drops back. This Philadelphia offense is still anchored in the run.

Spread
Philadelphia Eagles logo PHI -3.0 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Philadelphia Eagles are listed as 3-point favorites at Pinnacle, but I believe the spread should be closer to Eagles -6.5. This is a tough spot for the Los Angeles Rams, who will be on the East Coast playing outdoors for the second straight week. Their offense looks much more comfortable at home in a dome, but on the road—with crowd noise, outdoor conditions, and one of the league’s best pass rushes—it’s a different story. The Eagles’ offensive line is capable of neutralizing Jared Verse, which will force the Rams’ secondary to shoulder even more of the defensive load.

Score a Touchdown
Blake Corum logo Blake Corum Score a Touchdown (Yes: +650)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Blake Corum saw a bigger role last week, playing 30% of the snaps and closing out the game with a goal-line touchdown in the fourth quarter. Kyren Williams is coming off a 351-carry season and is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry through two games. Certainly not explosive. Of the five carries inside the 10-yard line this year, Corum has two (for five yards and a TD), while Williams has three (for eight yards and a TD). Both are trusted inside the 5-yard line. Head coach Sean McVay also said after the game that the 70/30 split between Williams and Corum is “much more in alignment” with how he wants the backfield to look going forward.

Passing Attempts
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o25.5 Passing Attempts (-120)
Projection 28.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o192.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 209.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 68.3% to 77.2%.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Rams defense has conceded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 4.88 YAC.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o228.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 237.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects Matthew Stafford to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Matthew Stafford's throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.2% to 71.7%.. Matthew Stafford's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 9.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.18 figure last season.
Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley o13.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 19.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. This week, Saquon Barkley is expected by the projection model to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets.. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.08 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown logo
A.J. Brown o67.5 Receiving Yards (-130)
Projection 73.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. This week, A.J. Brown is predicted by the model to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.. With an excellent 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown stands as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Dallas Goedert logo
Dallas Goedert o35.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 38.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Dallas Goedert to total 5.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.. Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 23.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among TEs.
Rushing Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley u93.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 76.02 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. Saquon Barkley's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a meaningful reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 5.5 mark.. The Rams safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Rushing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o39.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 45.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The model projects the Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. With a stellar record of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Jalen Hurts has been among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.. The Los Angeles Rams defense owns the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.66 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Rushing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (-103)
Projection 1.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this game.
Rushing Attempts
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley u20.5 Rushing Attempts (-122)
Projection 17.42 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The Rams safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
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LA vs PHI Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

60% picking Philadelphia

40%
60%

Total Picks LA 800, PHI 1221

Spread
LA
PHI

LA vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dallas Goedert Score a Touchdown Props • Philadelphia

Dallas Goedert
D. Goedert
tight end TE • Philadelphia
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 90th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 37.0 per game. Dallas Goedert's 49.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 97th percentile for tight ends.

Dallas Goedert

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.26
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.26

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 90th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 37.0 per game. Dallas Goedert's 49.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 97th percentile for tight ends.

Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Puka Nacua has put up a colossal 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to WRs. Puka Nacua rates in the 96th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 67.4 figure since the start of last season. Puka Nacua's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.1% to 90.6%.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.49
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.49

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Puka Nacua has put up a colossal 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to WRs. Puka Nacua rates in the 96th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 67.4 figure since the start of last season. Puka Nacua's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.1% to 90.6%.

Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown Props • Philadelphia

Saquon Barkley
S. Barkley
running back RB • Philadelphia
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.78
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.78
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). With a remarkable 19.4% Red Zone Target Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley stands among the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the goal line in the league. Saquon Barkley has accrued a whopping 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.78

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). With a remarkable 19.4% Red Zone Target Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley stands among the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the goal line in the league. Saquon Barkley has accrued a whopping 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

A.J. Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Philadelphia

A.J. Brown
A. Brown
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.9% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wideouts. When it comes to air yards, A.J. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a massive 86.0 per game.

A.J. Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.39
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.39

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.9% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wideouts. When it comes to air yards, A.J. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a massive 86.0 per game.

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Kyren Williams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.3% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among RBs. Kyren Williams is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching an impressive 90.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile. With an excellent ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Kyren Williams rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs since the start of last season.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.6

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.3% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among RBs. Kyren Williams is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching an impressive 90.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile. With an excellent ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Kyren Williams rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs since the start of last season.

Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown Props • Philadelphia

Jalen Hurts
J. Hurts
quarterback QB • Philadelphia
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.69
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.69
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 68.3% to 77.2%. Since the start of last season, the stout Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.68 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Jalen Hurts

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.69

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average). Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 68.3% to 77.2%. Since the start of last season, the stout Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.68 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Tyler Higbee Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Tyler Higbee
T. Higbee
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.16
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.16
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.63 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Tyler Higbee

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.16
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.16

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.63 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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