Panthers @ Saints Picks & Props

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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.8% pass rate.. Chris Olave's 65.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% figure.. This year, the tough Carolina Panthers defense has given up a feeble 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Carolina's CB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Juwan Johnson grades out as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.. This year, the shaky Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.8% pass rate.. The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 7th-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 1.23 per game this year.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Carolina's CB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.8% pass rate.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Carolina's CB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.3 targets.. The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (64.0) to TEs this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs.. Rico Dowdle profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 19.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.. Rico Dowdle's 84.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 79.9% rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.. After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 107.0 per game.

At the moment, the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Panthers.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. Bryce Young's ground efficiency (6.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. This year, the poor New Orleans Saints run defense has been gouged for a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-most in football.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

At the moment, the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Panthers.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to accumulate 15.4 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. Rico Dowdle has averaged 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (90th percentile).. This year, the poor New Orleans Saints run defense has been gouged for a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-most in football.

At the moment, the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Panthers.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to accumulate 15.4 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Rico Dowdle ranks in the 87th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 56.0% of the workload in his team's run game.

Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This year, the tough Panthers run defense has allowed a puny 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This year, the tough Panthers run defense has allowed a puny 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

At the moment, the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Panthers.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.