WAS 2.5 o46.5
NYG -2.5 u46.5
LV 12.5 o38.5
PHI -12.5 u38.5
CLE 7.5 o38.0
CHI -7.5 u38.0
BAL -3.0 o50.5
CIN 3.0 u50.5
ARI 10.5 o42.5
HOU -10.5 u42.5
BUF -1.5 o49.0
NE 1.5 u49.0
NYJ 13.5 o41.5
JAC -13.5 u41.5
LAC 6.0 o41.5
KC -6.0 u41.5
IND 13.5 o41.5
SEA -13.5 u41.5
TEN 12.0 o44.0
SF -12.0 u44.0
GB -1.0 o42.5
DEN 1.0 u42.5
CAR -3.0 o40.5
NO 3.0 u40.5
DET 6.0 o54.5
LA -6.0 u54.5
MIN 5.5 o47.5
DAL -5.5 u47.5
MIA 3.0 o42.5
PIT -3.0 u42.5
Final Dec 11
ATL 29 o43.5
TB 28 u43.5
Panthers 1st NFC South7-6
Saints 4th NFC South3-10

Panthers @ Saints Picks & Props

CAR vs NO Picks

NFL Picks
MoneyLine
Carolina Panthers logo CAR (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Saints' offense is bottom five in the league in scoring, turnovers lost, passing touchdowns, and the major rushing categories (yards, TDs, and per carry average).

The Saints have lost three straight ATS at home, and last week's upset at Tampa Bay was their first time topping the 20-point mark in eight games.

Rushing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough u21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Tyler Shough scrambled for 55 yards on seven carries last week but 34 of those yards came on a single run. The rookie QB had been held below 20 rushing yards in four of his previous five starts and his previous career-high was a 22-yard game against Atlanta. He also didn't run much in college and on Sunday he faces a Carolina defense that contains quarterbacks on the ground. The Panthers have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (10.2) and the second-fewest yards per rush attempt (2.8) to opposing QBs. They are dead-last in the league in pressure rate so they rarely flush quarterbacks out of the pocket. 

Touchdowns
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard o0.5 Touchdowns (+205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Bettors may have forgotten how much Chuba Hubbard’s usage jumped before the bye. He went over 100 total yards for the first time all season in Week 13 against the Rams and scored his first touchdown since Week 8. He logged 17 carries to Rico Dowdle’s 18 and added two receptions. Dowdle is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry across his last four games on 61 attempts and may be trending toward a 1B role in what could be a run-heavy matchup with the Saints. There shouldn’t be a 100-point difference between the two Carolina backs in touchdown pricing. If Hubbard is in line for 15-plus touches, he should be closer to +140.

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Carolina Panthers logo CAR -2.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Carolina is coming off a Week 14 bye in the thick of the race for top spot in the NFC South, and the Black Cats are trading Under the key number of 3 against the 3-10 Saints. New Orleans is ripe for a letdown spot after playing spoiler and topping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14, while Carolina quarterback Bryce Young is quietly turning the corner with the eighth-highest EPA+CPOE composite dating back to Week 9. Young has aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt with a  68.1 completion percentage over his past three games, too.

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o199.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 218.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough o203.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 211.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+108)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 22.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 46.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.. The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (64.0) to TEs this year.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 68.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 62.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.. After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 107.0 per game.. Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o8.5 Rushing Yards (-106)
Projection 14.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Bryce Young's ground efficiency (6.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. This year, the poor New Orleans Saints run defense has been gouged for a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-most in football.
Rushing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u5.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)
Projection 4.56 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DN
Devin Neal o55.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 59.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This year, the tough Panthers run defense has allowed a puny 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.
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CAR vs NO Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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73% picking Carolina

73%
27%

Total Picks CAR 558, NO 205

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CAR
NO

CAR vs NO Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja'Tavion Sanders Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Ja'Tavion Sanders logo

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Juwan Johnson Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

Juwan Johnson
J. Johnson
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.25
Best Odds

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets. Juwan Johnson grades out as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile. This year, the shaky Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

Juwan Johnson logo

Juwan Johnson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.25
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.25

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets. Juwan Johnson grades out as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile. This year, the shaky Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

Chris Olave Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

Chris Olave
C. Olave
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5. Chris Olave's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, compiling 5.4 adjusted receptions vs a mere 4.0 last year.

Chris Olave logo

Chris Olave

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5. Chris Olave's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, compiling 5.4 adjusted receptions vs a mere 4.0 last year.

Tetairoa McMillan Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.66
Best Odds

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Tetairoa McMillan logo

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.66
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.66

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Rico Dowdle Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.81
Best Odds

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs. Rico Dowdle's 84.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 79.9% rate. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.9%) to running backs this year (88.9%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Rico Dowdle logo

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.81
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.81

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs. Rico Dowdle's 84.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 79.9% rate. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.9%) to running backs this year (88.9%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Devin Neal Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

Devin Neal
D. Neal
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.57
Best Odds

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Devin Neal logo

Devin Neal

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.57
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.57

At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Chuba Hubbard
C. Hubbard
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.09
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Chuba Hubbard has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Xavier Legette Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Xavier Legette
X. Legette
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.55
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Xavier Legette has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Devaughn Vele Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

Devaughn Vele
D. Vele
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.67
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Devaughn Vele has gone over 3.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Coker Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Jalen Coker
J. Coker
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.57
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jalen Coker has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 7 games.

Mason Tipton Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

Mason Tipton
M. Tipton
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.50
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Mason Tipton has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CAR vs NO Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'samua' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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'samua' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

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'campellnyr917' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'campellnyr917' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'sockss109' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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'sockss109' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Bassboy7276' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

Bassboy7276 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'culp5050' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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'culp5050' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'dmoney1981' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'dmoney1981' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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