Falcons @ Buccaneers Picks & Props

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.. The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69%) versus tight ends this year (69.0%).

The Falcons are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to earn 6.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

The Falcons are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is projected by the model to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.8 targets.. The Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (92.1%) to running backs this year (92.1%).

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.. The Atlanta cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Kirk Cousins's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.6% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered the 10th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.62 per game this year.. The Atlanta cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.. Baker Mayfield's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a substantial diminishment in his passing precision over last season's 71.1% rate.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Kirk Cousins's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.6% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.92 seconds per snap.. In this contest, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.2. . Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.. Baker Mayfield's 196.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a significant reduction in his throwing proficiency over last season's 274.0 rate.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Kirk Cousins has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (137.0) this season than he did last season (240.0).. Kirk Cousins's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.6% figure.. Kirk Cousins's 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a noteable reduction in his passing efficiency over last season's 7.4% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Tampa Bay's defense ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating 0.95 per game.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.. In totaling only 0.41 interceptions per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the best QBs in football (75th percentile).

The Falcons are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to earn 6.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.. The Atlanta cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.. The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Kyle Pitts's skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.98 mark last season.. This year, the stout Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a meager 6.9 yards.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.3% pass rate.. Bijan Robinson's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 87.3% to 81.6%.. Bijan Robinson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 8.7% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.7% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run on 46.6% of their downs: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. With an impressive tally of 7.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield ranks among the best rushing QBs in football this year.. Baker Mayfield profiles as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an excellent 3.07 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 100th percentile.. This year, the deficient Falcons run defense has conceded a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run on 46.6% of their downs: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This year, the deficient Falcons run defense has conceded a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-worst in the NFL.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The Falcons are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to accumulate 1.5 carries in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Kirk Cousins is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a mere 2.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. The Buccaneers defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run on 46.6% of their downs: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The Falcons are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Bijan Robinson's 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a material decrease in his running proficiency over last season's 82.0 mark.. The Buccaneers defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run on 46.6% of their downs: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.7% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.. The model projects Bijan Robinson to accumulate 18.4 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Bijan Robinson has received 64.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.