Jets @ Ravens Picks & Props

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have only 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week. Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. Mark Andrews places in the 85th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 37.0 figure this year. Mark Andrews grades out in the 93rd percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.45 per game. The New York Jets defense has been torched for the 2nd-most TDs through the air in the NFL to TEs: 0.70 per game this year.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have only 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week. Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the most accurate QBs in football this year with an exceptional 68.5% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 79th percentile. With a remarkable ratio of 1.88 per game (92nd percentile), Lamar Jackson has been among the top touchdown passers in football this year. This year, the feeble Jets defense has given up a staggering 1.80 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have only 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week. The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this game (21.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.2% in games he has played). Zay Flowers's 65.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for wideouts. Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 65.7% mark.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jets are giant underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in football. This year, the weak Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a colossal 1.10 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-worst rate in the league.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jets are giant underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in football. The Ravens pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.7%) vs. TEs this year (85.7%).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have only 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week. Derrick Henry has totaled a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has yielded a monstrous 0.40 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jets are giant underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in football. Breece Hall has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 14.7% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. In regards to air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating an astounding 6.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jets are giant underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in football.