Patriots @ Bengals Picks & Props

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The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. After accruing -3.0 air yards per game last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has shown good development this year, now sitting at 10.0 per game.. Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 86th percentile for RBs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.8%) to RBs this year (88.8%).

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. With an impressive 22.2% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.. Stefon Diggs rates in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 51.3 figure this year.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% this year, which ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Hunter Henry has notched a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among TEs.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. This year, the poor Bengals defense has surrendered a whopping 2.40 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 86th percentile for RBs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.8%) to RBs this year (88.8%).

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.. In this contest, Tee Higgins is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.3 targets.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. In this game, Stefon Diggs is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 87th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.. With a remarkable 5.0 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks among the best pass-catching WRs in the league.. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. The model projects Hunter Henry to garner 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.8%) to RBs this year (88.8%).. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).. When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.. Chase Brown's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 87.1% to 76.2%.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots pass defense has conceded a monstrous 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. This year, the poor Bengals defense has surrendered a whopping 2.40 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in the league.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league against the Patriots defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league against the Patriots defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The Patriots are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The Cincinnati Bengals have intercepted 0.90 balls per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in football by this standard.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.. After accruing -3.0 air yards per game last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has shown good development this year, now sitting at 10.0 per game.. Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 86th percentile for RBs.. The Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (46.0) versus running backs this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.77 yards.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 69.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has allowed a massive 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (46.0) versus running backs this year.. This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a staggering 8.07 yards.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. The model projects Hunter Henry to garner 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among TEs.. Hunter Henry has notched a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among TEs.. The Bengals defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (83.0) to tight ends this year.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).. When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.. In this game, Stefon Diggs is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 87th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the league.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. This year, the deficient Bengals run defense has been gouged for a massive 166.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the NFL.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The projections expect Chase Brown to earn 16.0 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.. Chase Brown has garnered 70.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.. Chase Brown grades out as one of the best running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.29 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 80th percentile.

The Patriots are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. This year, the deficient Bengals run defense has been gouged for a massive 166.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the NFL.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 31.0% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.. The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Patriots are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.