Vikings @ Packers Picks & Props

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. The model projects Justin Jefferson to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (28.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).

Our trusted projections expect Emanuel Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's contest (11.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.3% in games he has played). As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Green Bay's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 10.3%. With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands among the best possession receivers in football among TEs. This year, the deficient Vikings defense has conceded a colossal 0.60 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-largest rate in football. This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

With an impressive 21.7% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. After accumulating 66.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game. Romeo Doubs's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 48.6. With an impressive ratio of 0.36 per game through the air (80th percentile), Romeo Doubs rates among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year. This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Aaron Jones has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Jordan Love is positioned as one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with an exceptional 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile. Jordan Love has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among QBs (3rd percentile). This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.