Vikings @ Packers Picks & Props

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Our trusted projections expect Emanuel Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's contest (11.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.3% in games he has played).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.64 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The model projects Justin Jefferson to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (28.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).

While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Green Bay's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 10.3%.. With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands among the best possession receivers in football among TEs.. This year, the deficient Vikings defense has conceded a colossal 0.60 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-largest rate in football.. This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

With an impressive 21.7% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.. After accumulating 66.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game.. Romeo Doubs's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 48.6.. With an impressive ratio of 0.36 per game through the air (80th percentile), Romeo Doubs rates among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.. This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (64.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. Aaron Jones has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Jordan Love is positioned as one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with an exceptional 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.. Jordan Love has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among QBs (3rd percentile).. This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.80 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 5.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's passing offense in this game at 12.0%.. With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands among the best possession receivers in football among TEs.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. Romeo Doubs's 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a material decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 68.3% figure.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.. Aaron Jones places in the 96th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 21.0 figure this year.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to garner 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. This year, the fierce Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded a meager 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Justin Jefferson's 59.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 68.4% rate.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The Packers have been the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 46.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

The Packers defense has surrendered the 9th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.30 per game this year.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.9% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.64 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 33.1 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

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At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.9% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.64 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 33.1 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.9% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.64 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

The Minnesota Vikings have intercepted 0.32 passes per game this year, ranking as the 4th-worst defense in football by this metric. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 5.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's passing offense in this game at 12.0%.. With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands among the best possession receivers in football among TEs.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

In this contest, Emanuel Wilson is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets.. The projections expect Emanuel Wilson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this week's game (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.3% in games he has played).. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is projected by the model to land in the 98th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.5 targets.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to garner 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.. Aaron Jones has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The predictive model expects Romeo Doubs to accumulate 7.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.. After accumulating 66.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game.. Romeo Doubs's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 48.6.. With a stellar 49.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs has been among the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.. This year, the shaky Vikings defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.89 yards.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. After making up 3.9% of his team's carries last year, Jordan Love has had a larger role in the running game this year, currently accounting for 9.5%.. Jordan Love's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a material gain in his running ability over last year's 6.0 mark.. Jordan Love's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, compiling 5.70 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.94 mark last year.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. In this week's game, Emanuel Wilson is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.6 carries.. While Emanuel Wilson has accounted for 19.5% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Green Bay's running game in this game at 67.4%.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.57 seconds per snap.. The predictive model expects Aaron Jones to accumulate 13.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a 6-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. After making up 3.9% of his team's carries last year, Jordan Love has had a larger role in the running game this year, currently accounting for 9.5%.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Aaron Jones has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (44.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (59.6%).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.