SPREAD
CLE
+7.5 spread
4.8
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
16.37%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
CLE
+7.5 spread
Close Modal
4.8
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
16.37%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+7.5
-110
TOTAL
39.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
39.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.78%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o37.5
-112
MONEYLINE
BAL
-440 moneyline
BAL
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
BAL
-440 moneyline
Close Modal
BAL
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-440
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.3 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
18.15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.3 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
18.15%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with an excellent 69.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 82nd percentile.. Lamar Jackson has been one of the top touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 2.14 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.. Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.. The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
+340
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.29%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.29%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. While Zay Flowers has received 17.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Baltimore's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 23.3%.. Zay Flowers's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for wide receivers.. Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last season's 65.7% rate.. The Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.11 per game this year.
+180
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.2 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.2 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.98%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. With a 59.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
+500
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.19 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
11.01%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.19 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
11.01%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. With a 59.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
+500
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.58 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.58 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.07%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. While Derrick Henry has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 7.6%.. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a remarkable 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.. The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
-125
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.07%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for tight ends.. With an exceptional ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (95th percentile), Mark Andrews rates as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in football among tight ends this year.. Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.
+191
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.38 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-18.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.38 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-18.98%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. With a 59.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
+105
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.03 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.03 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. With a 59.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
+1400
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.92%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the worst in football this year.. Jerry Jeudy's receiving performance has worsened this year, compiling a mere 2.9 adjusted catches compared to 5.3 last year.. Jerry Jeudy's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 63.9% to 45.3%.
u3.5
+105
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.63%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.63%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the worst in football this year.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
u4.5
-140
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.32%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
o1.5
+123
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.7%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
o1.5
-110
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.66%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. In this game, Zay Flowers is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.. With an extraordinary 29.7% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.. Zay Flowers rates as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.. Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last season's 65.7% rate.
o4.5
-126
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-11.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-11.11%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The predictive model expects Mark Andrews to earn 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among TEs.. Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for tight ends.
o2.5
-175
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.78%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The model projects the Ravens to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (51.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 51.6 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
u1.5
-116
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
0.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-20.99%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-20.99%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. With a 59.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
o0.5
-137
PASSING COMPLETIONS
16.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
17.9%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
16.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
17.9%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The model projects the Ravens to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 51.6 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
u17.5
-102
PASSING COMPLETIONS
17.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.1
DIFFERENCE
15.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
17.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.1
DIFFERENCE
15.96%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the worst in football this year.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
u20.5
-155
PASSING ATTEMPTS
27.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
17.94%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
27.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
17.94%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
o24.5
-125
PASSING ATTEMPTS
30.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.0
DIFFERENCE
11.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
30.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.0
DIFFERENCE
11.93%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
u33.5
-160
PASSING YARDS
181.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-24.3
DIFFERENCE
25.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
181.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-24.3
DIFFERENCE
25.85%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The model projects the Ravens to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 51.6 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
u205.5
-112
PASSING YARDS
172.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.0
DIFFERENCE
18.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
172.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.0
DIFFERENCE
18.28%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (261.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
o161.5
-112
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.21%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
o0.5
-120
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.21%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The model projects the Ravens to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 51.6 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.. Lamar Jackson has tallied a mere 0.15 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
u0.5
-198
RECEIVING YARDS
12.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
25.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
12.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
25.73%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a remarkable 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
o6.5
-113
RECEIVING YARDS
12.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.3
DIFFERENCE
25.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
12.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.3
DIFFERENCE
25.59%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. This year, the poor Ravens defense has surrendered a colossal 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 8th-worst in football.
o6.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
38.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
21.81%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
38.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
21.81%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. This year, the shaky Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
o32.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
63.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
12.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
63.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
12.39%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. In this game, Zay Flowers is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.. With an extraordinary 29.7% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.. With an exceptional 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been among the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.. Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last season's 65.7% rate.
o58.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
31.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
31.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.73%
EV
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The predictive model expects Mark Andrews to earn 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among TEs.. Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for tight ends.
o29.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
39.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
39.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.8%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
o38.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
15.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.1
DIFFERENCE
26.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
15.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.1
DIFFERENCE
26.09%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 44.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens run defense has surrendered a puny 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 24th-smallest rate in the league.
o8.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
88.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.2
DIFFERENCE
25.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
88.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.2
DIFFERENCE
25.92%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.9 rush attempts.
o73.5
-115
RUSHING YARDS
86.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.5
DIFFERENCE
24.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
86.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.5
DIFFERENCE
24.78%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 44.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens run defense has surrendered a puny 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 24th-smallest rate in the league.
o70.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
40.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.1
DIFFERENCE
22.89%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
40.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.1
DIFFERENCE
22.89%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. In this contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 7.8.
o34.5
-112
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
19.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
8.74%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
19.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
8.74%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 44.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
o17.5
-135
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
18.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
2.19%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
18.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
2.19%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.9 rush attempts.
o17.5
-122
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.18%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 44.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
o2.5
-125
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
7.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
7.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.36%
EV
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.. In this contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 7.8.
o7.5
-102