LIVE End Nov 16
KC 19 -4.5 o45.0
DEN 22 4.5 u45.0
DET 2.5 o46.5
PHI -2.5 u46.5
DAL -3.5 o50.0
LV 3.5 u50.0
Final Nov 13
NYJ 14
NE 27
Final 4OT Nov 16
WAS 13
MIA 16
Final Nov 16
LAC 6
JAC 35
Final Nov 16
TB 32
BUF 44
Final Nov 16
CHI 19
MIN 17
Final Nov 16
GB 27
NYG 20
Final Nov 16
HOU 16
TEN 13
Final 4OT Nov 16
CAR 30
ATL 27
Final Nov 16
CIN 12
PIT 34
Final Nov 16
SF 41 -3.5 o48.5
ARI 22 3.5 u48.5
Final Nov 16
SEA 19
LA 21
Final Nov 16
BAL 23
CLE 16
Cincinnati 3rd AFC North3-7
Pittsburgh 1st AFC North6-4

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

CIN vs PIT Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Cincinnati Bengals logo Pittsburgh Steelers logo o49.5 (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
Score a Touchdown
Jonnu Smith logo Jonnu Smith Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Cincinnati has been a disaster defensively, giving up 36.7 points per game over its last seven contests — and that’s not a typo. Tight ends are averaging over 80 receiving yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game against this unit. Jonnu Smith led all Steelers tight ends in routes last week with a 71% route share. He only saw two targets, but the entire offense struggled to move the ball. Among the three Pittsburgh tight ends, Smith is priced in the middle for an anytime touchdown, but he’s the best bet to score in what should be a high-total game and one of the softest matchups on the slate.

Total
Cincinnati Bengals logo Pittsburgh Steelers logo u50.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Pittsburgh offense looked lost in Week 10, with Aaron Rodgers passing for just 161 yards and two interceptions against the Bolts. After a steady start through the first six weeks, this Steelers offense has tumbled down the advanced metrics the past four outings. This passing attack is far from explosive. Pittsburgh has posted only 21 completions of 20-plus yards with Rodgers averaging a league-low 3.7 air yards per completion for qualified QBs. If the Steelers are going to stop the bleeding, it will need the defense to step up at home. Pittsburgh’s performance on Sunday night wasn’t horrible, checking the Chargers to 4.6 yards per play, 18 first downs and sacking Justin Herbert four times. The extended forecast for Acrisure Stadium sees rains on Sunday with wind gusts as high as 21 mph. That could keep scoring down and make a mess of the questionable grass surface in the Steel City as well.

Score a Touchdown
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco Score a Touchdown (Yes: +2200)
Projection 0.09 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
Score a Touchdown
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: -155)
Projection 1.04 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. Jaylen Warren's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 76th percentile for RBs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Jaylen Warren's 95.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 89.5% mark.. Jaylen Warren grades out in the 79th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.11 per game.
Score a Touchdown
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: +130)
Projection 0.63 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
Receptions Made
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Ja'Marr Chase u8.5 Receptions Made (-115)
Projection 7.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. Ja'Marr Chase's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 74.8% rate.. The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
Passing Completions
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco u25.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 22.28 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. With a lackluster 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.. The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
Passing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco u263.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 240.16 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. With a lackluster 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.. Joe Flacco checks in as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 24th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Jonnu Smith logo
Jonnu Smith o20.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Projection 29.44 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a massive 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the worst in football.. This year, the porous Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 9.49 yards.
Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf logo
DK Metcalf o52.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 57.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.. In this week's game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.4 targets.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the shaky Bengals pass defense has given up a colossal 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Ja'Marr Chase u93.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 88 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. Ja'Marr Chase's 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 98.0 mark.. Ja'Marr Chase's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 74.8% rate.
Receiving Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o23.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 26.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.
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CIN vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

CIN vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joe Flacco Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Joe Flacco
J. Flacco
quarterback QB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Joe Flacco

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.09
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.09

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Chase Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Chase Brown
C. Brown
running back RB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.63
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.63
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Chase Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.63
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.63

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Jaylen Warren
J. Warren
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
1.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
1.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. Jaylen Warren's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 76th percentile for RBs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Jaylen Warren's 95.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 89.5% mark. Jaylen Warren grades out in the 79th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.11 per game.

Jaylen Warren

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 1.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
1.04

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. Jaylen Warren's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 76th percentile for RBs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Jaylen Warren's 95.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 89.5% mark. Jaylen Warren grades out in the 79th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.11 per game.

Ja'Marr Chase Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Ja'Marr Chase
J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.59
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.59

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.9% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.7 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

DK Metcalf Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

DK Metcalf
D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. DK Metcalf's 61.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. With a fantastic ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), DK Metcalf ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.41
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.41

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. DK Metcalf's 61.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. With a fantastic ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), DK Metcalf ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

Jonnu Smith Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Jonnu Smith
J. Smith
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a whopping 1.33 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

Jonnu Smith

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.23
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.23

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a whopping 1.33 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CIN vs PIT Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 ChOmP 9-1-0 +5400
2 Ed333 9-1-0 +4900
3 Bassboy7276 8-2-0 +4850
4 warmastershake 9-1-0 +4800
5 Schutz 8-2-0 +4800
6 number46 9-1-0 +4800
7 bamabilly 7-3-0 +4800
8 Rossi35 7-3-0 +4800
9 Mochiman 8-2-0 +4800
10 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +4800
All Bengals Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 stom5900 10-0-0 +7750
2 bigsmoke21169 8-2-0 +5900
3 Bazooks813973 8-2-0 +5230
4 Ranman 10-0-0 +4950
5 IBetALot 10-0-0 +4950
6 RAZORAZE283 9-1-0 +4900
7 Rads5777 9-1-0 +4800
8 Batch9 7-3-0 +4800
9 Kansas2014 7-3-0 +4800
10 Lucknuts 9-1-0 +4400
All Steelers Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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