New York @ New England Picks & Props

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. The Patriots defense has allowed the 4th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to wideouts: 1.30 per game this year. This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has conceded a feeble 0.30 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the lowest rate in football.

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 7th-best in football this year. The New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to RBs: 0.33 per game this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. With a remarkable 23.8% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs rates among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 7th-best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 73.7% to 84.0%. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which puts him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends. As it relates to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the towering 89th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating an impressive 38.0 per game. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 7th-best in football this year. With a remarkable rate of 0.36 per game through the air (84th percentile), Hunter Henry has been among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to TEs this year.

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has conceded a staggering 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in football. This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has conceded a feeble 0.30 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the lowest rate in football.

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. With an extraordinary 16.1% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Breece Hall has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. Breece Hall has totaled a colossal 6.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's 88.0% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 76.6% rate. The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.4%) vs. running backs this year (88.4%).

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 7th-best in football this year. This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has conceded a monstrous 1.89 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has conceded a staggering 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in football. This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has conceded a feeble 0.30 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the lowest rate in football.