Pittsburgh @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

A passing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. While Jaylen Warren has garnered 3.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's passing offense near the goal line in this contest at 8.8%. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average). The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.

A passing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. Pat Freiermuth grades out in the 84th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average). The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average). The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.

A passing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. In this week's game, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to average the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 35.8. Aaron Rodgers has not tried to run the ball himself in the red zone at all this year.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average). The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Justin Herbert is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 35.1.

A passing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. DK Metcalf has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among WRs. DK Metcalf has been in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 60.0 mark this year.