New Orleans @ Carolina Picks & Props

A throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -5-point underdog in this week's game. The Saints rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Saints to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. Chris Olave has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 26.7% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers. Chris Olave has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -5-point underdog in this week's game. The Saints rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Saints to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. With an exceptional 16.7% Red Zone Target Share (81st percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Juwan Johnson has compiled far more air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (59.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average). As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 9th-best in football this year. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.2%) versus tight ends this year (80.2%).

Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (59.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average). As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 9th-best in football this year. The Saints defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 1.22 per game this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -5-point underdog in this week's game. The Saints rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Saints to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (59.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average). The model projects Rico Dowdle to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this contest (8.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.0% in games he has played). As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -5-point underdog in this week's game. The Saints rank as the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Saints to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. With an exceptional 13.9% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara ranks among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. When it comes to air yards, Alvin Kamara ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among running backs this year, accruing an astounding 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (59.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average). Comprising a measly 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries this year (2nd percentile among QBs), Bryce Young's lack of speed makes him no threat with his legs near the goal line. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.