Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

The Jets have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.0% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The predictive model expects Garrett Wilson to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line in this game (31.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (19.0% in games he has played). Garrett Wilson's 82.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 66.4. Garrett Wilson grades out in the 96th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.57 per game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game. The New York Jets defense has conceded the most receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.75 per game this year. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game. With an extraordinary 19.5% Red Zone Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy ranks as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the end zone in football. Jerry Jeudy's 54.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 80th percentile for wide receivers. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game. This year, the feeble Jets defense has been torched for a whopping 0.38 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-highest rate in the league. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Jets have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.0% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.38 per game) against the Browns defense this year. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in football.

The Jets have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.0% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.1% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. Breece Hall has compiled a staggering 8.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 76.6% to 87.6%.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game. This year, the shaky New York Jets defense has given up a colossal 1.88 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Jets have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.0% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Browns defense has been gouged for the 8th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.88 per game this year. Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.38 per game) against the Browns defense this year. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in football.