Jacksonville @ Houston Picks & Props

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 62.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Houston Texans may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Davis Mills. With a 64.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football has been the Houston Texans. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 62.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The leading projections forecast Johnny Mundt to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this game (9.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The Houston Texans may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Davis Mills. With a 64.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football has been the Houston Texans. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

The Houston Texans may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Davis Mills. With a 64.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football has been the Houston Texans. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 62.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Travis Etienne has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.8% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. With a stellar rate of 0.10 per game through the air (76th percentile), Travis Etienne stands as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 62.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this contest, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by the projection model to average the 5th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.7.