Las Vegas @ Denver Picks & Props

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. This year, the shaky Raiders pass defense has been gouged for a massive 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the worst rate in football. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are massive -9-point underdogs. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Raiders to pass on 61.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Raiders have been the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.8% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 130.9 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are massive -9-point underdogs. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Raiders to pass on 61.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Raiders have been the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.8% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 130.9 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer. While Courtland Sutton has received 15.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Denver's passing offense near the goal line this week at 22.3%. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board.

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are massive -9-point underdogs. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Raiders to pass on 61.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Raiders have been the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.8% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 130.9 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.