Dallas @ Carolina Picks & Props

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year. While Tommy Tremble has received 10.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's pass game near the end zone this week at 15.1%.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.0 plays per game. Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 71.2%. With a stellar rate of 1.67 per game (95th percentile), Dak Prescott rates among the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year. The Carolina defensive ends project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (13.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.0 plays per game. George Pickens has notched a monstrous 100.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts. George Pickens's 65.7% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 59.1% figure. George Pickens ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.83 per game. The Carolina defensive ends project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.0 plays per game. While Jake Ferguson has received 19.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Dallas's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 4.0%. After accumulating 26.0 air yards per game last season, Jake Ferguson has made big progress this season, currently boasting 42.0 per game. Jake Ferguson's 47.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 31.3. Jake Ferguson's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 71.2% rate.

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.0 plays per game. Javonte Williams's 94.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 78.0% mark. With an excellent rate of 0.17 per game through the air (87th percentile), Javonte Williams has been among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year. The Carolina defensive ends project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game. The Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.