Arizona @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. In this week's game, Kyler Murray is projected by the model to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.0. The opposing side have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.40 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the predictive model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. Daniel Jones's 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable growth in his passing precision over last year's 63.4% figure. With a terrible rate of only 0.00 rushing touchdowns per game (2nd percentile), Daniel Jones places among the worst running QBs in the NFL this year.

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. Michael Carter's 12.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 81st percentile for running backs.

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. Trey McBride has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. In this contest, Jacoby Brissett is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the predictive model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals run defense has given up a measly 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the predictive model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. Jonathan Taylor's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 12.1. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 56.7% to 88.9%.

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. This year, the shaky Colts defense has allowed a massive 1.20 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.