Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. At a mere 27.75 seconds per play, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is positioned as the 9th-quickest paced in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. The model projects Rachaad White to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing teams to play 8th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year at 27.87 seconds per snap. Since the start of last season, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in the league. This year, the deficient Buccaneers defense has allowed a massive 0.50 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. At a mere 27.75 seconds per play, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is positioned as the 9th-quickest paced in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a mere 0.00 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football.

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. At a mere 27.75 seconds per play, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is positioned as the 9th-quickest paced in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. With a remarkable ratio of 1.60 per game (86th percentile), Baker Mayfield places among the best touchdown throwers in the league this year.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing teams to play 8th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year at 27.87 seconds per snap. The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone in this week's contest (30.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has compiled significantly more air yards this year (105.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 62.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 89th percentile for wideouts. With an outstanding 78.2% Adjusted Catch% (87th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing teams to play 8th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year at 27.87 seconds per snap. While Kenneth Walker III has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Seattle's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 10.0%. Kenneth Walker III's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 90th percentile for running backs. The Buccaneers defense has given up the 8th-most touchdowns through the air in football to RBs: 0.25 per game this year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. At a mere 27.75 seconds per play, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is positioned as the 9th-quickest paced in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year. The model projects Cade Otton to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (12.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing teams to play 8th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year at 27.87 seconds per snap. Sam Darnold's 69.3% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a substantial improvement in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.2% mark. With a lousy rate of only 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Sam Darnold ranks among the worst running QBs in the NFL this year.