Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 129.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 129.2 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. While Kenneth Walker III has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Seattle's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 10.0%. Kenneth Walker III's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 90th percentile for running backs. The Buccaneers defense has given up the 8th-most touchdowns through the air in football to RBs: 0.25 per game this year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.