Las Vegas @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Daniel Jones's 70.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last season's 63.4% rate. The running TD column reads "0" on the back of Daniel Jones's trading card this year. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. While Jakobi Meyers has been responsible for 20.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Las Vegas's passing offense near the end zone in this contest at 25.6%. When talking about air yards, Jakobi Meyers ranks in the towering 84th percentile among WRs this year, totaling an astounding 78.0 per game.

A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year. This year, the stout Indianapolis Colts run defense has given up a feeble 0.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year. This year, the stout Indianapolis Colts run defense has given up a feeble 0.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Jonathan Taylor's 16.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 77th percentile for RBs. Jonathan Taylor's 92.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a meaningful improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 56.7% mark. With a remarkable rate of 0.20 per game through the air (87th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among RBs this year.