Anthony Gould Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
A. Gould
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Las Vegas @ Indianapolis Picks & Props
LV vs IND Picks
NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Daniel Jones o17.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
Jones got bottled up by the Rams last week, with the Colts playing from behind and having to pass. Indy comes home to host the Raiders, who are focusing their efforts on RB Jonathan Taylor. Jones is seeing plenty of designed runs but also could be scrambling for his life, with Maxx Crosby and the Raiders pass rush – which sits ninth in win rate – closing in. Projections for Jones range from 24 to as many as 30 yards rushing.
Receptions Made
Brock Bowers o5.5 Receptions Made (+119)
Projection 6.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis's LB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the league.
Passing Completions
Geno Smith o21.5 Passing Completions (-107)
Projection 24.34 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Passing Attempts
Geno Smith o30.5 Passing Attempts (-130)
Projection 34.95 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.
Passing Attempts
Daniel Jones o28.5 Passing Attempts (-118)
Projection 31.31 (Over)
EV Model Rating
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Passing Yards
Geno Smith o227.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 264.84 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.. Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (241.0 per game) versus the Colts defense this year.
Passing Yards
Daniel Jones o229.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 248.87 (Over)
EV Model Rating
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. With a remarkable record of 198.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Daniel Jones places as one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year.. Daniel Jones's 70.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last season's 63.4% rate.. Daniel Jones's 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target this season conveys a substantial progression in his passing efficiency over last season's 6.1% mark.. This year, the deficient Raiders defense has yielded a staggering 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 9th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers o51.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 68.96 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Colts defense has yielded the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (56.0) versus TEs this year.
Receiving Yards
Jakobi Meyers o55.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 69.19 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 97.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.. This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a whopping 158.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-most in the league.
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty u16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 13.16 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Colts pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.2%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (80.2%).. The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, conceding 5.61 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in football.
Receiving Yards
TW
Tyler Warren o55.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 59.84 (Over)
EV Model Rating
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a monstrous 4.83 YAC.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
LV vs IND Consensus Picks
View all Consensus PicksLV vs IND Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Dylan Laube Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
D. Laube
running back RB • Las Vegas
Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
T. Warren
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Jack Bech Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
J. Bech
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Will Mallory Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
W. Mallory
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Alec Pierce Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
A. Pierce
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Adonai Mitchell Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
A. Mitchell
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
M. Mayer
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Carter Runyon Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
C. Runyon
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Raheem Mostert Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
R. Mostert
running back RB • Las Vegas
Ian Thomas Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
I. Thomas
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Tre Tucker Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
T. Tucker
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Daniel Jones Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
D. Jones
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Jonathan Taylor Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Ashton Dulin Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
A. Dulin
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Tyler Goodson Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
T. Goodson
running back RB • Indianapolis
DJ Giddens Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
D. Giddens
running back RB • Indianapolis
Mo Alie-Cox Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
M. Alie-Cox
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Alex Bachman Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
A. Bachman
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Zamir White Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
Z. White
running back RB • Las Vegas
Josh Downs Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
J. Downs
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Justin Shorter Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
J. Shorter
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Geno Smith Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
G. Smith
quarterback QB • Las Vegas
Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
A. Jeanty
running back RB • Las Vegas
Jakobi Meyers Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Brock Bowers Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Dont'e Thornton Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas
D. Thornton Jr.
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Drew Ogletree Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis
D. Ogletree
tight end TE • Indianapolis
LV vs IND Trends
Las Vegas Trends
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Over
Under
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
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IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Over
Under
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.20 Units / 19% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 20 games (-14.95 Units / -62% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-10.80 Units / -44% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 20 games (-8.50 Units / -38% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 17 games (-6.80 Units / -36% ROI)
LV
IND
The Las Vegas Raiders have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 9 away games (-5.95 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Indianapolis Trends
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
LV
IND
The Indianapolis Colts have only hit the 1H Team Total Under in 5 of their last 20 games (-10.05 Units / -45% ROI)
The Indianapolis Colts have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 17 games (-6.95 Units / -35% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.61 Units / -72% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 17 games (-5.55 Units / -28% ROI)
Over
Under
The Indianapolis Colts have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 games (-4.87 Units / -26% ROI)
LV
IND
