Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The Baltimore Ravens may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush. Cooper Rush has not attempted to carry the ball himself near the end zone at all this year. With a terrible rate of just 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Cooper Rush places as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in the league last year. The Texans safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

The Baltimore Ravens may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush. While Zay Flowers has been responsible for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 18.6%. Zay Flowers has put up a colossal 71.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wideouts. Zay Flowers's 65.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 91st percentile for wideouts. Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive growth in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.7% mark.

The Baltimore Ravens may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush. Mark Andrews slots into the 89th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 36.2 figure this year. Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 81.8% to 85.2%. Mark Andrews grades out in the 92nd percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.40 per game. The Texans safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-focused team in football in the red zone (57.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans. To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing offenses have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league. Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack near the end zone in this game (12.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played). C.J. Stroud's throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 61.0% to 66.1%.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-focused team in football in the red zone (57.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans. To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing offenses have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league. Nico Collins slots into the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 69.7 figure this year. Nico Collins grades out in the 87th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.40 per game.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-focused team in football in the red zone (57.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans. To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing offenses have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league. The Ravens defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to running backs: 0.50 per game this year.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-focused team in football in the red zone (57.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans. To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. Opposing offenses have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league. In regards to air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 89th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a superb 35.0 per game. Dalton Schultz rates in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 38.5 figure this year.

The Baltimore Ravens may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush. Derrick Henry has posted a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage). Derrick Henry ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, hauling in a fantastic 93.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile. The Texans safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.