Denver @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -4-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 129.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. With a top-tier 27.3% Red Zone Target Rate (92nd percentile) this year, A.J. Brown ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL. A.J. Brown ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 88.0 mark since the start of last season.

A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -4-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 129.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. With an impressive 18.2% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. Dallas Goedert has notched a whopping 35.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. Saquon Barkley has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs. Saquon Barkley's 19.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in football: 96th percentile for RBs.

A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -4-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 129.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. With an impressive 71.0% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in football. This year, the fierce Denver Broncos run defense has given up a puny 0.50 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-best rate in football.

A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -4-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 129.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.